Videogame venture capitalist firm Konvoy recently shared its sales predictions regarding Rockstar’s GTA 6 which included the upcoming Open World behemoth reaching an enormous $7.6 billion in revenue in just two months of it’s release. But according to Daniel Ahmad, the director of research and insights at Niko Partners, those numbers could be a tad unrealistic, even for a game like GTA 6 which is undoubtedly the biggest videogame of all time, in more ways than one.
Ahmad has noted that the Kovoy sales projections are “an aggressive forecast for the first 60 days”, also adding that those outrageously high numbers suggest just under 65% of users who have either an Xbox Series X|S or a PlayStation 5 would be purchasing GTA 6 in that time span. He also pointed out that Grand Theft Auto 5 had managed to sell 32.5 million copies in its first three months back in 2013 when Xbox 360 and PS3 had a total player base of around 166 million users worldwide which is under 20% of the total player base who had either of the consoles.
These numbers clearly suggest that it’s highly unlikely for GTA 6 to reach that many number of players as per as Konvoy’s predictions, but guess we’ll just have to wait and see. Also GTA 6 is coming out at a different era of gaming than it’s predecessor which includes higher price tag for most games as well as many different parameters which will all impact it’s sales in one way or another.
As of right now, GTA 6 probably has even more hype behind it than what GTA 5 did when it came out over a decade ago, with both of it’s trailers breaking viewership records twice. This really suggests that upon release, GTA 6 could garner revenue that was previously unimaginable not just for a videogame but for any entertainment property in history.
Grand Theft Auto 6 will launch for PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on May 26, 2026.
